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Market Insight

Institutional Insights - Credit Agricole USD: the Harris vs Trump trade

Institutional Insights - Credit Agricole USD: the Harris vs Trump tradeThe USD October rally continues and some of the currency’s recentgains reflect Donald Trump’s recovery in the polls ahead of the...

FX Options Insights 17/10/24

FX Options Insights 17/10/24The absence of current FX realised volatility is reflected in the pressure on shorter-dated expiration implied volatility in the majority of major currency pairings. Until...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Flow Of Funds Update 17/10/24

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Flow Of Funds UpdateGS Tactical Flow-of-Funds: Year-End Melt Up S&P 500 has hit 46 new all-time highs in 2024 and is up +42.32% from the October 27, 2023 low...

FX Options Insights 15/10/24

FX Options Insights 15/10/24The pressure on the implied volatility of FX options is maintained by another day of FX consolidation and low volatility.Although EUR/USD touched below 1.0900, the FX...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole, FX Client Survey Ahead OF US Elections

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole, FX Client Survey Ahead OF US ElectionsEUR, JPY, GBP, CHF and CADFX investors were bearish on the EUR but felt that many ECB-related negatives are already in...

FX Options Insights 14/09/24

FX Options Insights 14/09/24Lack of short-term realised volatility expectations is reflected in the lower implied volatility of shorter-term foreign currency options. The premiums for options with...

Institutional Insights: Nomura, US Election Hedging

Institutional Insights: Nomura, US Election HedgingNomura's Flow Guru, McElligott, Discusses The Potential For A Panic To The Upside In Equity Markets Based On Volatility Hedging1. Customers have...

Institutional Insights: UBS, NZD Going Down

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut rates by 50bps to4.75%, as we expected. The NZDUSD fell 1.3% to its lowest level in almost two months, while our recommendation to be long AUDNZD is up...

FX Options Insights 11/10/24

FX Options Insights 11/10/24The U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle has led to a significant weakening of the U.S. dollar. However, a modest recovery in the dollar, driven by reduced...